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yet another poll to measure the shift of momentum – tied

Sen. John McCain has wiped away many of Sen. Barack Obama‘s pre-convention advantages, and the race for the White House is now basically deadlocked at 47 percent for Obama and 46 percent for McCain among registered voters, according to a new Washington PostABC News poll. The presidential contest is also about even among those who are the most likely to vote in November: 49 percent for McCain, 47 percent for Obama.

– and to notice the importance of women in the change

Much of the shift toward McCain stems from gains among white women, voters his team hoped to sway with the pick of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his vice presidential candidate. White women shifted from an eight-point pre-convention edge for Obama to a 12-point McCain advantage now.

That’s a 20 points shift!

Comments ABC:

Some of McCain’s biggest gains in this ABC News/Washington Post poll are among white women, a group to which “hockey mom” Sarah Palin has notable appeal: Sixty-seven percent view her favorably and 58 percent say her selection makes them more confident in McCain’s decision-making. Among those with children, Palin does better yet. And enthusiasm for McCain among his female supporters has soared.

some numbers:

Her high 67 percent favorable rating among white women goes higher still, to 80 percent, among white women with children at home. And 71 percent of white mothers say the pick makes them more confident in McCain’s decision-making as president.

I am not a polster but I predicted the mothers’ ire

The findings about the women shift ‘s confirm Rasmussen’s

The immediate reason this makes me happy is that maybe now, some people will stop presuming speaking for me (“us, women are insulted by the pick of a woman on the ticket, we like to humbly help the man from the floor, and just adore our votes being thrown away)

How’s that 3 AM texting feeling now suckers? Can you hear us NOW?

And rock star Obama – did they make you one of these yet?

…Update

Once again CNN seems to be determined to disprove that B0 is losing the women. In this new poll they actually reverse the gender gap

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey out Tuesday indicates that 62 percent of men questioned have a favorable opinion of the Alaska governor, nine points higher than women.

Nice try – if CNN has any credibility left on anything. The purpose of the poll seems to be to find out how OK is it for Obama to attack her:

“A majority of women say yes, but it’s close; men are slightly less likely to see those questions as fair game,” said CNN polling director Keating Holland.

Overall, 50 percent of those polled say criticism of Palin is fair, with 45 percent saying it’s only because she is a woman

They even compare those numbers to Ferraro’s and conclude more people are OK with attacking her. CNN is now official an internal pollster for the Obama campaign. And not a very good one, judging from those other polls out there. But it may explain Obama making a fool of himself out there with his Don Rickles routine.

The upshot on this poll – strangely dome on VPs only is

Palin would top Biden “by a 53 to 44 percent margin, based largely on the votes of men,” Holland said.

Then they turn around and say VP’s make absolutely no difference. Go figure.

Gallup tracking

PRINCETON, NJ — John McCain’s 6 percentage-point bounce in voter support spanning the Republican National Convention is largely explained by political independents shifting to him in fairly big numbers, from 40% pre-convention to 52% post-convention in Gallup Poll Daily tracking.

unlike CNN:

Gallup Poll Daily tracking finds a uniform rise in support for McCain since late August among men and women.

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