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I had got this impression the other day, but there are a few more facts at Hillbuzz that strengthen that impression:

never in any of our careers have any of us ever seen members of one party switching sides and voting for the other party as we see in this election with Democrats for McCain. There has never been anything like it.  Not even the “Reagan Democrats” who voted for Reagan over Carter, for the simple fact that these “Reagan Democrats” weren’t identified and labeled until AFTER the election.  No, Democrats for McCain are real, are voting for McCain right now, and are open and organized, as well as self-identifying.

Another element:

Union members repeatedly tell all of us that they are lying to pollsters because the unions have been polling these people — and the unions will threaten people’s jobs if they don’t tow the union line. So, the people lie when asked whom they are supporting. But, the unions can’t control who they vote for on Election Day. And that’s when things are going to get interesting.

and they conclude that

We do not believe Obama will carry Pittsburgh or Harrisburg in PA. He’ll win Philly, but not by the large margin he needs to take the state. You’ve heard Governor Ed Rendell is “worried” about Obama’s chances in Pennsylvania. That is an understatement. Obama will lose a state that hasn’t gone red in generations.

Based from what I am hearing from volunteers, it makes sense to me.

I am adding – for more than Pa these two ignored facts:

– the 80% hang-up rate on pollsters is a poll in itself – that pretty much negates the results that are reported

– the lack of Obama signs in places that had Kerry signs in 2004. I am hearing reports of this from Pa, Fla, NJ and other states – from people who know their own neighborhoods and see a difference.

That was the repeated, whining call of a group of B0bots in front of Trader joe’s NYC this afternoon.

“We need volunteers! Pennsylvania is at stake”

They were holding a handwritten sign saying “LET’S SWING THE SWING STATES” and repeating this over and over to the steady stream of customers coming from the overcrowded store.

I had to spend some time hoisting and securing my pumkin to the luggage carrier and heard this about 5 times. Not a person stopped. They kept going.

I liked it. Sounded frantic and panicked.

Not Your Sweetie

October 2019
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