Where for a long time Obama was givem 100% to win this, the latest projection is

After 100,000 simulated elections, Obama wins 47,408 times (including the 2,565 ties), and McCain wins 52,592 times. Obama receives (on average) 267 to McCain’s 271 electoral votes. If the election was held now, Obama should have a 47.4% probability of winning and McCain, a 52.6% probability of winning.

yesterday’s and older numbers
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